Copa Libertadores 2013: Olimpia the only team to survive the group stages

The group stages of the Copa Libertadores ended last week and we have just one Paraguayan team in the last sixteen. Olimpia were arguably the weakest of the three qualified sides but as Cerro Porteño capitulated in catastrophic fashion and Libertad wilted towards the end, it left El Decano as the last team standing. They’ve slowly improved under Ever Almeida since he took over at the beginning of the year and here we analyse the three key reasons they are into the knockout stages.

1. Ever Almeida

Ever Almeida winning his 2nd title in 1990 - Photo: pasionlibertadores.com

Ever Almeida winning his 2nd title in 1990 – Photo: pasionlibertadores.com

The record-holder for the most appearances in the Copa Libertadores obviously brings experience, especially in big games, after all he won the trophy twice with Olimpia in 1979 and 1990. We saw that in the gritty victory over Universidad de Chile Santiago but we’ve also seen that Almeida is a smart coach and tactically astute. He has gradually moulded the team he wants and found the best way to utilize Juan Manuel Salgueiro with his strikers, usually Fredy Bareiro but sometimes Juan Carlos Ferreyra. The Almeida effect can be seen in the improvement in results, in the first three games they garnered four points, in the final three they took the maximum nine on offer.

2. Midfield balance

Ortiz offers discipline in central midfield - Photo: D10.com.py

Ortiz offers discipline in central midfield – Photo: D10.com.py

Last year the team was much stronger on paper yet they crashed out in the first round and one difference I’ve noted is their ability to re-organise and keep their shape even when they lose possession quickly. Previously with Serigo Orteman and Vladimir Marin they had two excellent players who both enjoyed freedom and liked to roam to find space something that left them susceptible to counter attacks. This year we have the combination of Richard Ortiz and Eduardo Aranda who are more defensive by nature and more disciplined tacitcally, it allows Salgueiro the freedom he needs to make things happen in and around the opposition goal.

3. Re-discovering the Olimpia garra

Olimpia winning the 1979 Libertadores - Photo: ABC.com.py

Olimpia winning the 1979 Libertadores – Photo: ABC.com.py

Go back through the annals of this tournament and despite being much smaller than the Argentinian, Brazilian and major Uruguayan clubs you will find that Olimpia have picked up some wonderful results in this competition especially away from the Paraguayan capital. In 1979 they got a 0-0 draw in the Bombonera to win the trophy having beaten Boca in the home leg, in 2002 they actually lost the first leg at home to Sã0 Caetano and were a goal down at halftime in the Pacaembú only to score twice in the second half and take the game to penalties, which they won. In 2012 they didn’t manage to win an away game, their only point on the road came in a thrilling 3-3 draw with Flamengo but that was only 15 minutes of magic. This year they fought hard against Newell’s before losing in Rosario but were imperious in Venezuela and Chile, the result against Universidad de Chile was a typical ‘smash and grab’ that epitomised the Olimpia spirit.

Now they face Tigre in the next round, the team from Buenos Aires province have been awful in the league but seem to lead a charmed life in cup competitions. They also have a great record against the guaraní sides, knocking out Cerro of the 2012 Sudamericana with a swashbuckling display which they repeated in the incredible 5-3 victory over Libertad to eliminate them last week. I have a feeling El Decano will prove to be sterner stuff with Almeida’s experience and that garra coming to the fore.

Ralph Hannah

Apertura 2013 Week 5: Nacional vs Olimpia and Carapeguá vs Libertad preview

A weakened Libertad side travel to Carapeguá in the early kick off which we preview below Saturday’s big match between Nacional and Olimpia.

Nacional vs Olimpia
Defensores del Chaco, Asunción
09/03/2013; 19:00 (22:00 GMT)
TV: Unicanal (Paraguay)

Gustavo Morinigio’s Nacional are second in the league having won every game but one, a heavy defeat to Cerro de Franco in the east of the country. Today they look to win their third straight game and stretch their ‘no draw’ run to 17 games. Remarkably since the previous meeting between these two in the Arsenio Erico, which Nacional won 4-1, Olimpia have won just two league games from a possible nine. They are on a run of three games without a win having lost to General Díaz before drawing their previous two matches against Rubio Ñu and most recently Deportivo Lara.

Melgarejo has got the winner in the past two games for Nacional - Photo: Prensa Club Nacional

Melgarejo has got the winner in the past two games for Nacional – Photo: Prensa Club Nacional

The Academia are without Marcos Riveros which is a notable absentee in midfield, up front Ramón Cardozo is still looking for his first competitive goal for the club. Marcos Melgarejo is an excellent player and has proved his class by scoring the winner in the previous two games, both of which ended 1-0 as Moringio tries to impart some of his defensive wisdom onto the squad.

Fredy Bareiro is Olimpia's form man - Photo: D10.com.py

Fredy Bareiro is Olimpia’s form man – Photo: D10.com.py

Ever Almeida must be a bit concerned, three games without a win and four without a cleansheet prove that his team isn’t quite as settled as he had first hoped. Interestingly he continues with Jorge Báez at right-wingback despite the youngster’s defensive frailties, something that Melgarejo will try and expose at every opportunity. The form man has been Fredy Bareiro who can’t stop scoring, the former Libertad and Cerro man has four in four and scored two ‘golazos’ against Lara. In defence Herminio Miranda can’t play against his parent club so Julio Manzur will take his place in the back three.

Prediction: 2-1

Best Bet: BTTS with Nacional missing holding midfielder Riveros and Olimpia starting with Báez at wingback

Nacional XI (possible): Ignacio Don; Ramón Coronel, Raúl Piris, Leandro Cáceres, David Mendoza; Carlos Ruiz Peralta, Silvio Torales, Hugo Cabrera, Marcos Melgarejo; Ramón Cardozo, Julian Benítez

Olimpia XI (possible): Martin Silva; Salustiano Candia, Julio Manzur, Enrique Meza; Jorge Báez, Eduardo Aranda , Richard Ortiz, Sebastián Ariosa; Juan Manuel Salgueiro; Fredy Bareiro, Juan Carlos Ferreyra

There is a live market of this game available on Betfair

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Non-Televised game…

Carapeguá vs Libertad
Estadio Municipal, Carapeguá
09/03/2013; 17:15 (20:15 GMT)
TV: Unicanal (Paraguay)

Three draws in a row for Carapeguá who know that the wonderful start by General Díaz means the newly-promoted side are no longer a likely relegation contender thus plunging them deeper into the mire. They face a Libertad side also concerned with their points total, they can’t become so enthralled with the chase for continental glory that they forget their ‘bread and butter’. Having said that the Copa Libertadores schedule is unforgiving, they leave for Lima at dawn tomorrow so most of the first team have been given a rest.

With that in mind I’m plumping for a Carapeguá win, they also won this fixture last year and so history is on their side.

Prediction: 2-1

Carapeguá XI (probable): Gustavo Arévalos; Raúl Cáceres, Rubén Maldonado, Robert Aldama, Cristian Martinez; Pedro Chavez, Jorge Britez, Michel Romero, Diego Godoy; David Pereira, Arnulfo Colmán

Libertad XI (probable): Rodrigo Muñoz; Aldo Olmedo, Gustavo Gómez, Ismael Benegas, Gustavo Mencia; Nelson Romero, Osmar Molinas, Sebastián Eguren, Néstor Camacho; Rodolfo Gamarra; Mauro Guevgeozián

For other football previews check CaStRoF’s betting tips

By Ralph Hannah

Copa Libertadores 2013: Olimpia vs Deportivo Lara preview

Olimpia vs Deportivo Lara
Estadio Defensores del Chaco, Asunción
05/03/2013; 19:15 (22:15 GMT)
Group Stages
TV: Fox Sports (Latin America); ESPN (UK)

Days after the death of Olimpia’s legendary manager Luis Cubilla the Paraguayans have arguably the easiest fixture of the group in which to continue the Cubilla tradition of winning in the Copa Libertadores. Tournament debutants Deportivo Lara visit from Venezuela where they sit 5th in their local league. While a win is almost certainly on the cards, Olimpia need only to look at their cross-city rivals Cerro Porteño for a reminder that complacency can cost.

Olimpia promote tonight's match - Photo: Club Olimpia

Olimpia promote tonight’s match – Photo: Club Olimpia

Olimpia are most comfortable with a back three and the first choice defence is all available tonight with Salustiano Candia the most experienced centreback. In midfield Ortiz and Aranda will hold to give Juan Manuel Salgueiro license to roam in the final third although don’t be surprised to see him drop back without the ball and assume a defensive role, that extra discipline has been notable this season. Alejandro Silva at right wing-back has been impressive so far in the Copa games and it is obvious now why he was considered for the Uruguayan Olympic side last year (he was in the preliminary squad).

Olimpia fans will be out in force - Photo: D10.com.py

Olimpia fans will be out in force – Photo: D10.com.py

Deportivo Lara lost their first away match to Universidad de Chile but they were able to record an historic victory against Newell’s in Barquisimeto two weeks ago. They are also expected to play with three central defenders and a playmaker, Jesus Gomez, who was previously with Caracas and has made international appearances at senior level. Their problem seems to be defensive, they have just one cleansheet in nine matches so far this year, something El Decano will look to exploit.

Olimpia XI (probable): Martín Silva; Salustiano Candia, Herminio Miranda, Enrique Meza; Alejandro Silva, Eduardo Aranda, Richard Ortiz, Sebastián Ariosa; Juan Manuel Salgueiro; Fredy Bareiro, Juan Carlos Ferreyra.

Deportivo Lara XI (probable): Allan Liebeskind; Jesus Alvarez, Marcelo Maidana, José Rey; Yuber Mosquera, Marlon Fernandez, Miguel Mea Vitali, Vicente Suanno; Jesus Gomez; Rafael Castellin, Zamir Valoyes

Prediction: 2-0

Selected Odds: Olimpia win 1.48, Draw 4.4, Deportivo Lara win 9.2, 2-0 win 7.4, Under 2.5 goals 1.87

Best Bet: With the win heavily odds on I like Olimpia/Olimpia (Olimpia to be winning at halftime and full time) at 2.26, bearing in mind they’ve scored plenty of early goals so far this year.

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Stats

Olimpia head-to-head vs Venezuelan opposition (Copa Libertadores)

Pld 4 W 2 D 1 L 0 GF 13 GA 4 (all games took place in 1995 group stages)

Olimpia last 5 Copa Libertadores Home

Pld 5 W 4 D 0 L 1 GF 12 GA 6

Olimpia last 5 Continental Comps. (All venues)

Pld 5 W 2 D 2 L 1 GF 6 GA 3

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By Ralph Hannah

Authors Note: All odds are selected from Betfair Sports and accurate at the time of writing, there is a live market on this game

For more football previews check out CaStRoF’s betting tips

Apertura 2013 Week 4: Olimpia vs Rubio Ñu preview

Olimpia vs Rubio Ñu
Defensores del Chaco, Asunción
02/03/2013; 19:00 (22:00 GMT)
TV: Unicanal (Paraguay)

Saturday’s only fixture could well be Chiqui Arce’s final match as Rubio Ñu coach (he’s strongly linked to the vacant Cerro Porteño job) he will try and get one over on Olimpia as a parting shot. Ever Almeida’s team come into this match after a shock midweek loss to General Díaz, the new boys that have taken the league by storm winning their opening three games.

The club are promoting the fixture - Photo: Olimpia.com.py

The club are promoting the fixture – Photo: Olimpia.com.py

There is a bit of doubt of El Decano’s team selection, it could be a 4-4-1-1 with Alejandro Silva on the right-side of midfield and Jorge Baez in at full back. However if ex-Guarani defener Manzur starts instead of Baez then it will be the more familiar line of three defenders with Silva and Ariosa the wing backs. It seems Salgueiro will partner Fredy Bareiro up front, obviously he is a playmaker by trade so expect him to be operating in the hole and dropping back when they lose the ball to form an extra man in midfield.

Chiqui Arce could be leaving -  Photo: Prensa APF

Chiqui Arce could be leaving – Photo: Prensa APF

When Arce first took the reins at the albiverde he brought in plenty of experience to gain promotion to Primera, then he gambled on youth to great effect before his stint as national team coach and the club’s subsequent fall in the promedio table. With backs against the wall it is a mixture of old heads and fledgling talent – players like Domingo Salcedo and Hugo Lusardi rubbing shoulders with Bryan Montenegro and Roberto Piris da Motta (although the latter is suspended for today’s game).

Almeida got caught out on Wednesday playing with an alternative eleven – personally I think he’s too smart to make the same mistake, a good game awaits us.

Prediction: 2-1

Best Bet: Over 2.5 goals would be my bet with Olimpia good enough to win, Rubio Ñu good enough to score

Olimpia XI (possible): Martin Silva; Alejandro Silva, Salustiano Candia, Herminio Miranda, Sebastián Ariosa; Eduardo Aranda, Wilson Pittoni, Richard Ortiz; Juan Manuel Salgueiro, Fredy Bareiro, Arnaldo Castorino

Rubio Ñu XI (possible): Carlos Servín; Gustavo Gimenez, Oscar Ayala, Arnaldo Recalde, Domingo Salcedo, Gustavo Viera, Carlos Martinez Arce, Jorge Benitez, Angel Lucena, Hugo Lusardi, Bryan Montenegro

There is a live market of this game available on Betfair

For other football previews check CaStRoF’s betting tips

 

By Ralph Hannah

Apertura 2013 re-arranged fixture: Olimpia vs Gral. Díaz preview

Olimpia vs General Díaz
Defensores del Chaco, Asunción
27/02/2013; 19:00 (22:00 GMT)
TV: Unicanal (Paraguay)

League leaders General Díaz will have their 100% record put to the test by an Olimpia side hoping to replace them at the summit with a win. Of course it is very early days but the Aguilas have been unfazed by the rigours of the Primera División, winning their first two games including a win against local rivals Luque at the weekend. Olimpia are unbeaten in Paraguay this year, the only defeat was away to Newell’s Old Boys but even in that game we saw for the first 60 minutes that what they may lack in individual talent they make up for in team organization and mental discipline.

Enzo Prono could make his first start - D10.com.py

Enzo Prono could make his first start – D10.com.py

Almeida used a both a back three and four against Guaraní in an incredibly open match that they won thanks to a late header from Julio Manzur who keeps his place in defence comprised of just three defenders this time. The major changes are further up the field, Enzo Prono is vying for his first start for the club replacing Fredy Bareiro while Juan Manuel Salgueiro will be rested for Tomás Guzman. Captain Richard Ortiz also takes a breather as Blas Cáceres comes in down the left-hand side.

Right now General Diaz are in the driving seat - D10.com.py

Right now General Diaz are in the driving seat – D10.com.py

General Díaz’s star man is Antonio Bareiro, topscorer from last year he got the winner against Capiatá in the opening game before providing the assist for Marco Prieto’s derby decider last weekend. The coach Humberto Garcia is a luqueño by birth and has the odd distinction of being both promoted to and relegated from the Primera last year (he was loaned in for two weeks by Independiente but couldn’t prevent them from dropping down a division). The team should line up in a 4-4-2.

No Salgueiro could mean less goals for Olimpia, although Tomas Guzman looks a good player – it should be a home win but maybe not emphatically.

Prediction: 2-1

Best Bet: Olimpia scored in the 2nd minute against Guarani and previous to that were 2-0 up against La U within 10 minutes, I like Olimpia to be winning at HT at evens

Olimpia XI (probable): Martín Silva; Salustiano Candia, Julio Manzur, Enrique Meza; Jorge Báez, Eduardo Aranda, Fabio Caballero, Blas Cáceres, Tomás Guzmán; Enzo Prono, Juan Carlos Ferreyra

General Díaz XI (probable): Aristides Florentín; Rolando Sanabria, Dionisio Mereles, Lidio Benitez, Marcos Gamarra; Antonio Bareiro, Cristian Sosa, Carlos Vera Segovia, José Svarcas; Marco Prieto, Alfredo Cano

There is a live market of this game available on Betfair

For other football previews check CaStRoF’s betting tips

By Ralph Hannah

Apertura 2013 Week 3: Guaraní vs Olimpia preview

Saturday sees two clásicos the clásico añejo between Guaraní and Oimpia, the oldest rivalry in Paraguayan football, and the clásico Luqueño between Gral. Díaz and Sportivo Luqueño which hasn’t been played in decades.

Guaraní vs Olimpia
Defensores del Chaco, Asunción
23/02/2013; 19:00 (22:00 GMT)
TV: Unicanal (Paraguay)

The clásico añejo will take place in Sajonia this week, Guarani who scored five in their previous league game face an Olimpia side that are yet to concede a goal in their three matches played on Paraguayan soil in 2013. The aborigen have won the previous two games although before that Olimpia were on a run of 8 games without defeat in this fixture including five wins.

Guarani fans - Photo: Club Guarani

Guarani fans – Photo: Club Guarani

Unsurprisingly Guarani are set to field the same eleven that thrashed Capiatá last week and keep an eye out on Luis De La Cruz who has been in excellent form, he celebrates his 23rd birthday today. Dante López and Rodrigo Teixeira are an interesting partnership with the both fairly phsyical strikers but the former arguably more intelligent in his build up play and movement off the ball. Both Sergio Orteman and Julio César Cáceres, Copa Libertadores winners with Olimpia, are expected to play against their former teammates.

There is a bit of doubt of El Decano’s team selection, it could be a 4-4-1-1 with Alejandro Silva on the right-side of midfield and Jorge Baez in at full back. However if ex-Guarani defener Manzur starts instead of Baez then it will be the more familiar line of three defenders with Silva and Ariosa the wing backs. It seems Salgueiro will partner Fredy Bareiro up front, obviously he is a playmaker by trade so expect him to be operating in the hole and dropping back when they lose the ball to form an extra man in midfield.

Olimpia fans - Photo: Club Olimpia

Olimpia fans – Photo: Club Olimpia

So far I’ve been impressed with both sides this year, but I think Olimpia are stronger defensively and that could be the difference in this evening’s game.

Prediction: 0-1

Best Bet: I think an Olimpia win is a decent shout today, neutral venue and they have built up good momentum this year.

Guarani XI (possible): Pablo Aurrecochea; Eduardo Filippini, Julio César Cáceres, Luis Cabral, Elvis Marecos; Iván G.Ferreira, Sergio Orteman, Marcelo Palau, Luis De La Cruz; Dante LopezTeixeira

Olimpia XI (possible): Martin Silva; Jorge Baez (Julio Manzur), Salustiano Candia, Herminio Miranda, Sebastián Ariosa; Alejandro Silva, Wilson Pittoni, Fabio Caballero, Richard Ortiz; Juan Manuel Salgueiro, Fredy Bareiro

There is a live market of this game available on Betfair

For other football previews check CaStRoF’s betting tips

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Non-televised game

Gral. Díaz vs Sportivo Luqueño
Estadio Juan Canuto Pettengill, Itauguá
23/02/2013, 18:00 (21:00 GMT)
Prediction: 1-2

Luque’s two largest clubs face off in Itauguá with General Diaz’s stadium stll not fit for Primera football. To date Luque have drawn both their matches 0-0 while General Diaz have played just once, a 2-1 win against Capiatá in the opening round of fixtures. On paper the auriazul are stronger so I can see them winning and finally their fans should be able to cheer some goals!

By Ralph Hannah

Copa Libertadores 2013: Olimpia and Cerro Porteño suffer defeats on their travels

A disappointing evening for both Paraguayan sides as Olimpia and later Cerro Porteño were beaten in their opening group games in Rosario and Ibagué respectively.

Newell’s Old Boys vs Olimpia
Estadio Marcelo Bielsa
(0-0) 3-1 – Scocco (pen), Orsán, Rodriguez; Bareiro

Two wily coaches engaged in an intriguing battle for 70 minutes until Alejandro Silva’s foul on Maxi Rodriguez gave away a penalty and the opening goal which seemed to release the pressure valve. Martino got his tactics spot on, refusing to press so high that he would leave space in behind and patiently prodding at Olimpia’s deep-lying defence which was well organised.

The glut of goals in the final 20 minutes showed that Olimpia are susceptible when they try and be more adventurous although in the first half they had several good chances with Ferreyra looking sharp. Ultimately though the quality of Newell’s showed through, Gabriel Heinze was given man of the match for a typical robust defensive display while Maxi Rodriguez won the penalty and was on hand to turn in the final goal at the back post.

The game was marred by allegations of racial abuse from the Paraguayan defender Salustiano Candia who was called a “negro de mier**” by Maximiliano Urruti. It led to fractious scenes at the final whistle, the matter is said to have been dealt with internally.

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Deportes Tolima vs Cerro Porteño
Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
(1-0) 2-1 – Cardozo (og), Silva; Martinez

A poor performance from the azulgrana who haven’t started the season well – they found themselves unable to keep much possession on a heavy pitch against the Pijao. The opener was an own goal, with Luis Cardozo under no pressure the cross seemed to just strike him and bounce into the net. David Silva added a second in the second half by meeting another cross from the left.

The one positive was a goal for debutant Williams Martínez who headed in Fabbro’s freekick from a significant distance. Plenty of work to do before the next game, a match that Jorge Fossati will not be allowed to watch from the touchline having been sent off after 52 minutes (which only enraged the big Uruguayan further!).

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By Ralph Hannah

Copa Libertadores 2013: Newell’s Old Boys vs Olimpia preview

Newell’s Old Boys vs Olimpia
Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, Rosario
14/02/2013; 18:45 (21:45 GMT)
Group Stages
TV: Fox Sports (Latin America); ESPN (UK)

The Copa Libertadores starts in earnest for Olimpia who, having safely progressed through the prelimiary round, now face one of their toughest games of the group, a trip to Rosario, Argentina to face Gerardo Martino’s Newell’s Old Boys. There have been four previous meetings between these two teams in the Copa Libertadores in the 1975 and 1993 editions resulting in two draws and each side winning one game.

Ale Silva was the best player vs Defensor Sporting according to Fox Sports - Photo: Olimpia Oficial Facebook

Ale Silva was the best player vs Defensor Sporting according to Fox Sports – Photo: Olimpia Oficial Facebook

Ever Almeida has instilled discipline and organisation into Olimpia, particularly in midfield where they keep much better shape without the ball, so far in three matches in 2013 they are yet to concede a goal. Up front the main goal threat is the physical presence of Juan Carlos Ferreyra but his effectiveness will depend on the performance of playmaker Juan Manuel Salgueiro. Almeida is expected to start with three at the back but we saw against Luque in the previous match that is willing to adapt to four if he deems it necessary.

"Bobo, a quie te comiste" - we all love Tata Martino! - Photo: estadio.com.py

“Bobo, a quie te comiste” – we all love Tata Martino! – Photo: estadio.com.py

We saw last year that Newell’s Old Boys under Tata Martino are also a very disciplined side and like all his teams they will press ferociously from the front to try and win the ball, so expect an interesting contrast of styles as Almeida prefers his teams to sit deep and counter with direct moves. Ignacio Scocco was the main man in last year’s excellent Apertura campaign, he is a goal poacher and will be drifting into space all the time so El Decano’s back three must be vigilant. There is one Paraguayan in the team, right back Marcos Cáceres, who will be trying to get crosses into Scocco as often as possible. Also two names familiar to my readers from Europe are ex-Manchester United and Liverpool duo, Gabriel Heinze and Maxi Rodriguez both expected to start.

Newell’s Old Boys XI (possible): Nahuel Guzman; Marcos Caceres, Santiago Vergini, Gabriel Heinze, Milton Casco; Hernan Villalba, Pablo Perez,  Victor Figueroa, Martin Tonso; Ignacio Scocco, Maxi Rodriguez

Olimpia XI (probable): Martín Silva; Salustiano Candia, Herminio Miranda, Enrique Meza; Alejandro Silva, Richard Ortiz, Eduardo Aranda, Wilson Pittoni, Sebastián Ariosa; Juan Manuel Salgueiro; Juan Carlos Ferreyra

Prediction: 1-0

Selected Odds: Newell’s win 1.6, Draw 4.0, Olimpia win 7.4, 1-0 win 6.2, Under 2.5 goals 1.76

Best Bet: Will be hard for Olimpia to get a result here, Under 2.5 goals the best bet with two sides that can defend well

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More stats

Olimpia vs Argentine opposition (Copa Libertadores)

Pld 28 W 11 D 8 L 9

Olimpia have just two Copa Libertadores wins in Argentina, however one of those came against Bolivian side Bolívar – the only one against an Argentine side was in 1984 against Estudiantes La Plata (Source D10.com.py)

Olimpia last 5 Copa Libertadores Away

Pld 5 W 0 D 2 L 3 GF 4 GA 12

Olimpia last 5 Continental Comps. (All venues)

Pld 5 W 2 D 2 L 1 GF 4 GA 2 – includes two 0-0 draws

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Full squad list

GK: Martín Silva, Víctor Centurión,

DEF: Alejandro Silva, Sebastián Ariosa, Enrique Meza, Salustiano Candia,  Julio Manzur, , Herminio Miranda

MID: Carlos Paredes, Blas Cáceres, Eduardo Aranda, Jorge Báez, Wilson Pittoni, Richard Ortiz, Juan Manuel Salgueiro, Fabio Caballero,

ATT: Juan Carlos Ferreyra, Arnaldo Castorino, Fredy Bareiro, Enzo Prono

By Ralph Hannah

Authors Note: All odds are selected from Betfair Sports and accurate at the time of writing, there is a live market on this game

For more football previews check out CaStRoF’s betting tips

Apertura 2013 Week 1: Luque vs Olimpia preview

Three more games this weekend to round off the start of the Apertura campaign, the main match is of course Olimpia’s trip to Luque with the promoted clubs also in action.

Sportivo Luqueño vs Olimpia
Feliciano Cáceres, Luque
10/02/2013; 19:00 (22:00 GMT)
TV: Unicanal (Paraguay)

Olimpia’s league season begins with a visit to a re-vamped Luque side featuring just a handful of players from their previous encounter.  The auriazul are on a run of three consecutive wins against their old rival in this stadium, Olimpia’s last triumph at the Feliciano Cáceres was a 4-1 victory in the 2011 Apertura although only four players survive from that victory.

Luque won the last game at the Feliciano Cáceres - Photo: Fernando Romero, ABC Color

Luque won the last game at the Feliciano Cáceres – Photo: Fernando Romero, ABC Color

Luque have continued with manager Pablo Caballero who will hand debuts to the experienced Denis Caniza and Javier Gonzalez – once again the threat of relegation casts a dark shadow over the Feliciano Cáceres, they need to make sure they outperform newly promoted neighbours General Díaz and Deportivo Capiatá to remain in the Primera come December.

Olimpia have resisted the temptation to rest players with Thursday’s trip to Rosario in mind, much of today’s starting XI are likely to line up against Newell’s Old Boys. Juan Carlos Ferreyra has scored twice against the Kuré previously and Fredy Bareiro was on target in the previous match, they will be relying on the service from Salguerio.

Expect this to be a close and hard fought game, Ever Almeida showed us against Defensor Sporting that he wants his side to be mean at the back and the defensive three of Candia, Miranda and Meza look like they could form a strong coalition. As for Luque they have three midfielders who have tormented Olimpia in the past in Francisco Garcia, Juan Pablo Raponi and Luis Miño – if they can work well and evade Aranda and Ortiz then there could be some joy for the men in blue and gold.

Prediction: 0-1

Best Bet: Hard game to bet on as the last four meetings in this stadium have gone over 2.5 but my instinct says Ever Almeida will want to keep things tight so I think the away win is the bet to make.

Luque XI (probable): Joel Silva; Victor Dávalos, Gonzalo Maluella, Denis Caniza, Ariel Coronel; William Schuster, Luis Miño, Juan Pablo Raponi, Francisco Garcia; Javier Gonzalez, José Carlos Burgos

Olimpia XI (probable): Martin Silva; Salustiano Candia, Herminio Miranda, Enrique Meza; Jorge Báez, Eduardo Aranda, Ricardo Ortiz, Alejandro Silva; Juan Manuel Salgueiro; Juan Carlos Ferreyra, Fredy Bareiro

=================================

Non-televised games

Rubio Ñu vs Cerro de Franco
Estadio La Arboleda
10/02/2013; 17:30 (20:30 GMT)
Prediction: 2-0

Rubio Ñu were very poor last year but they have the advantage that Chiqui Arce has stayed on, bought in a few experienced faces (mainly from relegated Tacuary), while Cerro de Franco dismissed Eduardo Rivera and lost a couple of their best performers last year. Crucially they don’t have Rogerio Leichtweiss who was so important up front last year – the albiverde however have Jorge Ortega and Hugo Lusardi who have the capability of finding the net.

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Gral. Diaz vs Deportivo Capiatá
Dos Bocas
10/02/2013; 18:30 (21:30 GMT)
Prediction: 3-1

Although the game is on neutral venue I think General Diaz’s quality on paper will be too much for their rivals, Antonio Bareiro was a class act in the Intermedia last year and he could well be the difference today. In the last meeting Capiatá won 1-0 but prior to that it was a 4-0 rout for the side from Luque.

By Ralph Hannah

NB: For more previews you can visit CaStRoF betting tips who often features detailed previews of football from around the world

Copa Libertadores 2013: Olimpia vs Defensor Sporting preview

Olimpia vs Defensor Sporting
Defensores del Chaco, Asunción
31/01/2013; 19:15 (22:15 GMT)
Preliminary Round 2nd leg (0-0 aggregate)
TV: Fox Sports (Latin America); ESPN (UK)

The national stadium in the suburb of Sajonia is the scene for the showdown between Olimpia and Defensor Sporting in the second leg of the preliminary round. It will be Ever Almeida’s first game in charge of El Decano in his new spell as coach, the former goalkeeper has bags of experience in this competition, he holds the record for the most appearances in the Copa Libertadores (113) all of which were made while guarding Olimpia’s goal.

Arnaldo Castorino in the first leg which was a dull draw

Arnaldo Castorino in the first leg which was a dull draw

The opening game was a dour stalemate with neither team showing much ambition, it also stretched the Paraguayan side’s winless record against Defensor Sporting, in three competitive meetings they have drawn twice and lost once. Their only previous meeting in the Defensores del Chaco finished 1-1 in the 2010 Copa Sudamericana a result that saw them knocked out that evening and a repeat would also do for them tonight.

The goalscorer for the home side in that match was Juan Carlos Ferreyra who has returned to Olimpia for his second spell at the club, ‘El Tanque’ is likely to partner Arnaldo Castorino up front. Almeida has vowed to be more attacking knowing that with no away goal to their credit only a win will see them through after 90 minutes – he is set to include playmaker Juan Manuel Salgueiro in his 3-4-1-2 starting line up.

The tank returns - Photo: Ultimahora.com

The tank returns – Photo: Ultimahora.com

Defensor Sporting’s two Rodriguez’s nicknamed ‘Toro’ and ‘Zurdo’ were two of the best players in the first game, the latter looking dangerous on the left-hand-side. However the man of the match was arguably Nicolás Olivera who unfortunately suffered a serious injury that night breaking his collar bone. Without the veteran striker it is likely the Uruguayans won’t offer much going forward.

Olimpia XI (probable): Martín Silva; Salustiano Candia, Herminio Miranda, Enrique Meza; Jorge Báez, Richard Ortiz, Eduardo Aranda, Sebastián Ariosa; Juan Manuel Salgueiro;Arnaldo Castorino, Juan Carlos Ferreyra

Defensor Sporting (probable): Yonathan Irrazábal; Emilio Zeballos, Ramón Arias, Mario Risso, Robert Herrera, Aníbal Hernández, Diego “Toro” Rodríguez, Andrés Fleurquin, Diego “Zurdo” Rodríguez, Damián Luna, Ignacio Risso

Prediction: 1-0

Selected Odds: Olimpia win 2.18,, Draw 3.45, Defensor Sporting win 3.9, 1-0 win 7.4, Under 2.5 goals 1.69

Best Bet: While I’m strongly leaning to Unders the odds on the Olimpia win look fairly hefty considering the experience of their coaching staff and key players, I’d go on the straight win

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More stats

Plenty in the opening paragraphs but here is a quick form guide.

Olimpia last 5 Copa Libertadores Home

Pld 5 W 3 D 1 L 1 GF 10 GA 8

Olimpia last 5 Continental Comps. (All venues)

Pld 5 W 1 D 3 L 1 GF 2 GA 2 – includes three 0-0 draws

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Full squad list

Source: Club Olimpia

Source: Club Olimpia

By Ralph Hannah