Apertura 2012: Week 3 fixtures

This weekend of games runs from Saturday to Monday with Libertad getting an extra day’s rest after their Copa Libertadores excursions. Remember that all games have predictions and the odds mentioned on selected games are via Betfair which I advise you check for up to date odds. At the time of writing there was still some doubt lingering over Olimpia’s game with Independiente owing to a dispute over TV payments but that should be sorted before tomorrow’s kick off.

Sol de América vs Rubio Ñu
18/02/2012, 17.30
Estadio Luis A.Giagni
Prediction: 2-1

Claudio Correa scored two last week and one on Wednesday

The two form teams in the league clash here, both teams had key players in the midweek friendly with Sol’s José Ortigoza scoring for the senior side and Rubio’s Claudio Correa scoring for the U20s team. This is very hard to call but I think the home advantage and their defensive organisation will be just enough for Sol de América, I don’t think Rubio Ñu will be able to get a result.

SELECTED ODDS: There is a market on this but still developing

BEST BET: Goals, Goals, Goals!

Guaraní vs Nacional
18/02/2012, 18.30
Estadio Rogelio Livieres a.k.a Dos Bocas
Prediction:  1-0

Guaraní will be disappointed by last week’s defeat but here at home against a Nacional side still adapting under new coach Torrente they should bounce back. The key for Guaraní is if they can link up with striker Dante Lopez from midfield, if he sees more of the ball then the local team will be comfortable. The only question mark for Guaraní is their slow defence and with Luis Cabral suspended they may struggle against Nacional’s lively attack, hence the draw prediction.

Olimpia vs Independiente
18/02/2012, 22.45 GMT
Estadio Manuel Ferreira  a.k.a Para Uno
Prediction: 3-0

Gerardo Pelusso the Olimpia coach Photo: D10.com.py

Olimpia will probably field a reserve team or at least a ‘mix’ of first teamers and the second string with the Copa Libertadores game against Lanús in their sights. Nevertheless it will be an easy win against an Independiente side that has shipped seven goals in their opening two games and are really feeling the loss of coach Pablo Caballero and key players during the close season.

SELECTED ODDS: Same as above, there is a market but not much liquidity yet

BEST BET: Possibly the Asian Handicap with Olimpia -2 even a possiblity, that’s how bad Independiente are playing

Sportivo Luqueño vs Sportivo Carapeguá
19/02/2012, 20.30 GMT
Estadio Feliciano Caceres
Prediction: 2-1

Carapeguá have fought bravely in their opening two games but lost both times, now against a rejuvenated Luque team with the home support behind them it will be very dificult for Carapeguá. Very hard to imagine something other than a home win in this fixture.

Cerro Porteño vs Cerro Porteño PF
19/02/2012, 21.30 GMT
Estadio General Pablo Rojas a.k.a La Olla
Prediction: 4-0

Cerro Porteño face their sister team at home, there is no doubt they will win even more so now that squad tensions seem to have died down and there is the possible incorporation of both Santiago Salcedo and Guillermo Beltrán. Nothing more than an easy win for them at home against a team that went on strike earlier in the week over unpaid bonuses.

SELECTED ODDS: No market developed as yet

BEST BET: Probably little value in backing the home team but an Overs bet could be good or the Handicap market

Tacuary vs Libertad
20/02/2012, 22.00 GMT
Estadio Roberto Bettega
Prediction: 0-1

The Roberto Bettega stadium

Libertad are the form team at the moment, it is now 5 straight wins following Thursday’s Copa Libertadores triumph. They will play an alternative side in this game for sure but that should be no problem, such is the strength and depth of the squad. Tacuary have lost both games so far and their coach seems to be lacking a bit of tactical understanding, this match will be an away win.

TV Games: Sol de América vs Rubio Ñu, Olimpia vs Independiente, Cerro Porteño vs Cerro PF

By Ralph Hannah

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