Copa Sudamericana 2012: Olimpia vs Danubio Preview

Olimpia vs Danubio
Estadio Manuel Ferreira a.k.a Para Uno
07/08/2012, 20:45 (01:45 BST)
First leg: 0-0

Olimpia will play in their home stadium, Para Uno, having received CONMEBOL approval and it will be a fantastic atmosphere as they look to progress to the second round against Emelec or Uni. San Martín. The first leg finished goalless which means nothing less than a win will see El Decano advance, that should be well within their grasp.

Fredy ‘Zorro’ Bareiro will make his Olimpia debut – Photo: Futgol3d.radio970am.com.py

Uruguayan coach, Gregorio Perez has confirmed his starting XI for the game, his usual defensive 4-4-2 formation. Fredy Bareiro makes his first start since joining from Estudiantes Tecos partnering Nestor Bareiro up front, it means the in-form Arnaldo Castorino is relegated to the bench. Fabio Caballero replaces Carlos Humberto Paredes in central midfield, the veteran had a good game in the clásico but youth has been preferred to experience here. The likelihood is that Olimpia will set up not to concede and try to gradually grab a hold of the game as they search for the winner.

Gregorio Perez has gone for a solid formation – Photo: D10.com.py

Danubio have had a terrible time travelling to Asunción, they were unable to get a flight following heavy fog and requested a 24 hour delay to the game which was rejected by CONMEBOL (there is a strict TV schedule in this competition). They arrived early this morning by bus and are likely to be low on morale and affected by the lack of pre-match preparation. Their performance in the first leg suggested they won’t have an easy time getting on the scoresheet and I’m predicting a home win.

Olimpia XI (confirmed): Martín Silva; Alfredo Rojas, Salustiano Candia, Enrique Meza, Sebastián Ariosa; Eduardo Aranda, Miguel Amado, Fabio Caballero, Richard Ortiz; Néstor Bareiro, Fredy Bareiro

Prediction: 2-0

Selected Odds: Olimpia win 1.57, Draw 4.0, Danubio win 7.6, 2-0 scoreline 7.0, Under 2.5 goals 1.73

Best Bet: Following the nightmare journey for Danubio the lack of preparation will suit Olimpia, the -1.0 handicap offers good odds

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Stats and Trivia

Olimpia vs Uruguayan opposition (Copa Sudamericana)

Pld 3 W 0 D 2 L 1 GF 1 GA 3 – 2010 Copa against Defensor Sporting

Olimpia vs Uruguayan opposition (Continental Competitions)

Pld 33 W 8 D 10 L 15 GF 41 GA 47

Olimpia last 5 home (Continental Competitions)

Pld 5 W 3 D 1 L 1 GF 9 GA 7

Danubio have gone out in the first round of this competition in 2003, 2004, 2005 and 2007

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Full Squad List

GK: Martín Silva, Victor Centurión

DEF:  Alfredo Rojas, Julio Cesar Cáceres, Salustiano Candia, Enrique Meza, Sebastián Ariosa, Eugenio Montiel, Alejandro Silva

MID: Eduardo Aranda, Carlos Humberto Paredes, Victor Matta, Osvaldo Hobecker, Fabio Caballero, Richard Ortiz, Miguel Amado

ATT: Arnaldo Castorino, Nestor Bareiro, Julio Santacruz, Juan Manuel Salgueiro

By Ralph Hannah

Author’s Note: All odds correct at the time of writing via Betfair

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