Paraguay Clausura 2012: Week three Preview

Just one game on the Saturday with the rest taking place on Sunday, undoubtedly the pick of the bunch is Libertad vs Guaraní, the previous meeting was a 3-2 thriller edged by the Gumarelo. Olimpia will get things underway against Independiente, a heavily modified Cerro side host Sol de América in the penultimate match of the weekend.

Independiente vs Olimpia (TV)
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
11/08/2012, 17:30
Prediction: 1-2

Saguier mulls over his selection – Photo: Prensa Club Independiente

Olimpia are without Enrique Meza (injury) but can count on the services of another defender Richard Salinas who despite being on loan from Independiente will play following a gentleman’s agreement between the clubs. The two Bareiro’s will continue up front having played against Danubio, it means Arnaldo Castorino is consigned to the bench again while Maxi Biancucchi is still injured. Indpendiente are still looking for the ideal side with Carlos Saguier trying plenty of players in training this week. Last season the side from Campo Grande got a great win against Olimpia (3-0) but it is unlikely they will end their five game winless streak tomorrow.

Independiente XI (possible): Roque Cardozo; Rody Martínez, Silvio Borjas, Miguel Almirón, Hugo Fleytas Báez; Víctor Dávalos, Michel Romero, Richard Lugo, Osvaldo Díaz; Francisco Garcia, Emanuel Biancucchi

Olimpia XI (probable): Martín Silva, Alfredo Rojas, Julio César Cáceres, Richard Salinas, Sebastián Ariosa, Eduardo Aranda, Miguel Amado, Richard Ortiz, Juan Manuel Salgueiro, Néstor Bareiro, Fredy Bareiro.

BEST BET: Both Teams To Score isn’t such a crazy bet considering Olimpia are missing Meza and Inde like to attack, away win is safer

SELECTED ODDS: Independiente win 5.9; Draw 4.1; Olimpia win 1.64; 1-2 scoreline 8.2;

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Luque vs Tacuary 
Estadio Feliciano Cáceres
12/08/2012, 15:00

Prediction: 1-1

Luque will hope to continue their unbeaten start in the Clausura against Tacuary, so far they are yet to concede a goal. Tacuary are also on a three-game unbeaten streak having come from behind against Libertad and Cobreloa to earn draws after their opening day victory against Independiente. A draw seems a likely result between these two sides who have tied the last five times they’ve met.

Best Bet: Luque Draw No Bet

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Cerro de Franco vs Nacional
Estadio Antonio Oddone Sarubbi
12/08/2012, 15:00
Prediction: 1-0

Nacional’s last training session before trip to CDE – Photo: Prensa Club Nacional

Cerro de Franco pulled off a great win last week thanks to a double from Rogerio Leichtweis and they’ll be trying to go back-to-back against Nacional who are struggling to find goals since the departure of Ariel Bogado. Gustavo Moringio is set to make a few changes to the away side who travelled today (Saturday) by bus to Ciudad del Este. Cerro de Franco meanwhile will look to keep the same XI that turned out against Carapeguá with Leichtweis of course the key.

BEST BET: Under 2.5 goals in a tight game

Nacional XI (possible): Oscar Agüero; Raúl Piris, Matías Perez, Marcos Miers, Ramón Coronel; Carlos Ruiz Peralta, Marcos Riveros, Silvio Torales, Marcos Melgarejo; Angel Orué, Javier Gonzalez

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Rubio Ñu vs Carapeguá
Estadio La Arboleda
12/08/2012, 15:00
Prediction: 2-0

Rubio Ñu managed to get a draw against Sol de América thanks to Roberto Gamarra’s penalty to end a two-game losing streak but they are still searching for a win, eight games and counting. Carapeguá are playing their first away game of the season having previously lost and drawn in their opening two matches. In fact El Potro have only won one of their last 17 fixtures and that was against Rubio Ñu in early June. Chiqui Arce, who has promised several changes to the home team, should be able to break his duck since returning to the club and get a win for the albiverde.

BEST BET: Under 2.5 goals

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Cerro Porteño vs Sol de América (TV)
Estadio Gral. Pablo Rojas a.k.a La Olla
12/08/2012, 16:10
Prediction: 2-1

Cerro were on fire in their game against O’Higgins – Photo: Prensa CCP

Following on from their thumping of O’Higgins in midweek the reigning champions go into this game full of confidence but also plenty of changes. Fossati has rested the quintet called up to play for Paraguay in next week’s friendly which of course includes Jonathan Fabbro. There should be debuts for Gonazlo Viera, Victor Hugo Mareco and Edgar Gonzalez who all joined in the close season, also Juan Manuel Lucero will be given a rare start since his return from injury. Sol de América have drawn their first two matches 1-1, finding the second goal is proving difficult since the sale of José Ortigoza (they last score 2 six games ago with Ortigoza grabbing both). They probably don’t have the firepower or the defensive capability to stop El Ciclón here.

Cerro Porteño XI (possible): Diego Barreto; Gonzalo Viera, Victor H. Mareco, Luis Cardozo; Jorge Rojas, Alexis Gonzalez, Edgar Gonzalez, José Domingo Salcedo, Juan Manuel Lucero; Alejandro Da Silva, Santiago Salcedo

BEST BET: Home win is still on the cards despite the changes, the alterations in defence make Over 2.5 an interesting bet

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Libertad vs Guaraní (TV)
Estadio Nicolas Leóz a.k.a Tuyucuá
12/08/2012, 18:20
Prediction: 1-0

Libertad were doggedly efficient for the first 179 minutes of Ruben Israel’s tenure before Maurito Caballero’s handball in the last minute against Tacuary denied them consecutive 1-0 wins brought to them by the Velázquez (assist)/Nuñez (goal) combination. The 1-0 could certainly be on the cards in this fixture, Guaraní look good but will be tired from their trip to Bolivia so will probably be content with sitting back against Libertad. The home side might enjoy possession but as they showed against Tacuary they lack a bit of intelligence (maybe missing Topo Cáceres) to break down opponents.

BEST BET: Under 2.5 goals

By Ralph Hannah

Author’s Note: All odds correct at time of writing via Betfair for more betting tips check out CaStRoF betting tips

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One response to “Paraguay Clausura 2012: Week three Preview

  1. Pingback: Paraguay Clausura 2012: Week three Preview | The Paraguay ... | Paraguay | Scoop.it

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