Paraguay Clausura 2012: Week four Preview

Cerro Porteño are yet to win a game and now have to play on Saturday just three days after half their team were in Washington for an international friendly. The remaining games take place on Sunday.

Carapeguá vs Cerro Porteño (TV)
Estadio Municipal de Carapeguá
18/08/2012, 15:00
Prediction: 0-1

Cerro ahead of Carapeguá game – Photo: D10.com.py

Incredibly Cerro Porteño have not won in the league since that incredible superclásico to decide the title, they seem to be focussing on the Copa Sudamericana having made major changes to the side last week which they lost 3-2 to Sol de América. It is expected that the bulk of the international call ups will be rested again, but with Pedro Benítez will probably come in to ensure Cerro don’t have too many foreigners in the side. Last year Carapeguá relied on Echeverría early on, this season it has been Jorge Ayala who has been the goalscorer. Cerro may only have one win in five but Carapeguá have just one victory in 18 and are staring into the Intermedia-shaped abyss, it should be an away win although it might not be pretty.

Carapeguá XI (probable): Fabiano Heves; Raúl Cáceres, Marcos Arce, Derlis Correa, Cristian Martínez; Rodrigo Cantero, Esteban Ramírez, Diosnel Almirón, Ricardo Ortiz; Jorge Ayala, Marco Prieto

Cerro Porteño XI (probable): Junior Fernández; Mariano Uglessich, Pedro Benítez, César Benítez; Luis Cardozo, Fidencio Oviedo, Édgar González, Walter López; Roberto Nanni, Santiago Salcedo, Rodrigo López

BEST BET: As we’ve mentioned before Cerro do like to score late on so maybe the HT Draw/FT Cerro bet offers better value than just an outright win

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Rubio Ñu vs Cerro de Franco
Estadio La Arboleda
19/08/2012, 15:00

Prediction: 1-1

Rubio Ñu are still struggling, it has been nine games without a win and have just one victory in 15. Cerro de Franco were good at home last season but suffered on their travels, after three games in the Clausura it has been the reverse with two defeats in Alto Paraná and a 100% record away. Cerro de Franco also won the previous fixture in La Arboleda 2-1 so they will travel with confidence. They should be good enough to get at least a point with the albiverde really unable to find any kind of rythym or stop conceding goals.

Best Bet: Cerro de Franco DNB

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Sol de America vs Independiente
Estadio Luis Giagni
19/08/2012, 15:00
Prediction: 2-0

Sol de América were very good against Cerro Porteño last week exhibiting all their attacking prowess that has made them one of the league’s most exciting sides. There are always doubts that overshadow the defensive line, the impressive Bruno Valdez is still inexperienced and can’t marshall the whole defence on his own. Independiente are stuck in a six-game winless run and although they played well to draw with Olimpia last weekend it was at the price of two red cards to two defenders. That doesn’t bode well and it is likely that the danzarín will take full advantage.

BEST BET: Home win

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Guaraní vs Luque (TV)
Estadio Rogelio Livieres a.k.a Dos Bocas
19/08/2012, 16:20
Prediction: 2-0

‘Wanchope’ Ayala in training for big game – Photo: D10.com.py

A top of the table clash involving the aurinegro and the auriazul is arguably the game of the round, Guaraní should be favourites as they hold home advantage but Luque are much-improved in this Clausura. The away side can’t count of the services of Guido di Vanni (suspended) so the onus will be on ‘Wanchope’ Ayala to try and find the back of the net. Guaraní will want to keep themeselves disciplined and put in the kind of display that saw them keep a cleansheet against Libertad. They look good so far under new coach Diego Alonso and I think they can come through in this encounter.

BEST BET: Home win

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Tacuary vs Nacional
Estadio Roberto Bettega
19/08/2012, 17:00
Prediction: 1-2

Tacuary will want to pick themselves up after defeat against Luque that leaves them worrying about relegation. Nacional got a great win on the road last weekend against Cerro de Franco, coming back from two goals down to win with a last minute Cesar Cáceres Cañete penalty. That morale-boosting victory could be enough to propel them on in this game as they have a good record in the Bettega.

BEST BET: Nacional DNB

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Olimpia vs Libertad (TV)
Estadio Manuel Ferreira a.k.a Para Uno
19/08/2012, 18:30
Prediction: 1-0

The black and white clásico will be played at Para Uno in what is set to be a tense atmosphere between two teams that are often at loggerheads on and off the pitch. It is likely to be a good game with both sides capapble of keeping possession and playing good football but that doesn’t mean it will be expansive. Ruben Israel has conceded just once in 270 minutes since taking over at Libertad while Olimpia are managed by Gregorio Perez who also has a tendency to be slightly more defensive. This game could go either way but I think Olimpia just have enough nouse to edge it especially with Libertad missing two first team players through suspension.

BEST BET: Under 2.5 goals

Olimpia XI (probable): M.Silva, A.Silva, J.Cáceres, E.Meza, R.Salinas; E.Aranda, M.Amado, R.Ortíz, J.M.Salgueiro, A.Castorino, F.Bareiro

By Ralph Hannah

Author’s Note: All odds correct at time of writing via Betfair for more betting tips check out CaStRoF betting tips

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One response to “Paraguay Clausura 2012: Week four Preview

  1. Pingback: CaStRoF betting tips » Blog Archive » Paraguay

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