Copa Sudamericana 2012: Guaraní vs Millonarios preview

Guaraní vs Millonarios
Estadio Rogelio Livieres a.k.a Dos Bocas
30/08/2012, 20:45 (01:45 BST)

The Paraguayan outfit are enjoying life under new coach Diego Alonso although it all seemed so different when they crashed to a defeat at home to Oriente Petrolero in the first game of the Copa Sudamericana. Since then they are unbeaten in the league and like tonight’s opponents, Millonarios, sit top of their domestic league. This is the first meeting between the two sides in this competition.

Guaraní await Millonarios in the sun – Photo: Prensa Club Guaraní

Guaraní usually play with a 4-4-2 that often becomes a 4-2-2-2 with the wingers Dario Ocampo and Iván Gonzalez Ferreira often looking to cut inside rather than take on their full backs. The Uruguayan duo in central midfield protect a fairly slow back four so it will be important for Sergio Orteman and Marcelo Palau to keep hold of the ball and win it back as quickly as possible to avoid their defenders being exposed one-on-one. They are a side that often create chances but must be more clinical, against Oriente Petrolero they were terribly wasteful in the first leg and paid the price. Both Diego Centurión and Dante López are strong in the air so Millonarios will have to disciplined and not give away too many free kicks in dangerous areas.

Guaraní celebrate their victory in previous round – Photo: Prensa Club Guaraní

Millonarios themselves are in great form in the Colombian league, they’ve won five out of their six games so far. They beat Peruvian side Inti Gas in the last round, a goalless draw in the first leg in Ayacucho was followed up by a convincing 3-0 win in Bogotá. The major attacking threat is Wason Renteria who was sought after by several Paraguayan clubs at the turn of the year but his salary demands placed him out of reach. They also have 35-year-old Mayer Candelo in midfield who provides the creative spark, it should be a fascinating tussle between him and Orteman and the winner of that duel could have a direct effect on the result of the game.

Guaraní XI (probable): Pablo Aurrecochea; Tomás Bartomeus, Robert Aldama, Luis Cabral, Elvis Marecos; Iván González Ferreira, Sergio Orteman, Marcelo Palau, Darío Ocampo; Dante López , Diego Centurión

Prediction: 1-0

Selected Odds: Guaraní win 2.34, Draw 3.4, Millonarios  win 3.4, 1-0 scoreline 8.0, Under 2.5 goals 1.7

Best Bet: Under 2.5 goals as first legs are usually tight and Millonarios are likely to play this safe and hope to win 2nd leg

For more betting tips you can visit CaStRoF betting tips

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Stats and Trivia

Guaraní vs Millonarios Head-to-Head

Pld 2 W 1 D 0 L 1 GF 3 GA 5 – this was the 1985 Copa Libertadores group stages, with Guaraní winning 2-0 in Asuncion before getting thrashed 5-1 in Bogotá

Guaraní all-time record (Copa Sudamericana)

Pld 10 W 4 D 2 L 4 GF 12GA 12 – 3 editions

Guaraní all-time record (Continental Competition)

Pld 106 W 32 D 28 L 46 – 17 editions

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FULL MATCH SQUAD

GK: Pablo Aurrecochea, Joel Silva

DEF: Luis Cabral, Elvis Marecos, Tomas Bartomeus, Robert Aldama, Edgar Aranda

MID: Dario Ocampo, Marcelo Palau, Juan Aguilar, Jorge Mendoza, Sergio Orteman, Luis De la Cruz, Blas Caceres, Ivan Gonzalez Ferreira

ATT: Carlos Hidalgo, Diego Centurion, Dante Lopez

By Ralph Hannah

Author’s Note: All odds correct at the time of writing via Betfair

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