Cerro Porteño vs Mineros de Guayana
Estadio General Pablo Rojas a.k.a La Olla
19/09/2012; 21.45 (02.45 BST)
1st leg: 2-2
Cerro Porteño will be looking to progress to the last 16 where Colón de Santa Fe await as they head into this game as strong favourites. They had little problem in putting two goals past Mineros in the first leg but were hampered by a controversial penalty decision and subsequent dismissal of goalkeeper Diego Barreto which allowed the Venezuelans a route back into the game. Barring any surprises tonight they should secure passage into the next round.
The azulgrana are an attacking team, partly Fossati’s philosophy but also due to great inequality of their offensive threat compared to their defensive qualities, the old adage “Attack is the best form of defence” has rarely held so true with this Cerro side. The stats say it all, there have been 25 goals in the last seven games involving El Ciclón (an average of 3.6 goals per game) and they’ve only lost one of those. The key weapon is Jonathan Fabbro, he was rested at the weekend especially for this game and will look to control possession and create goalscoring opportunities. Rodrigo López also managed to break his goalscoring duck at the weekend which should instill the veteran Uruguayan with plenty of confidence ahead of tonight’s match.
Mineros looked to be all but out of the tie after 60 minutes of the first leg, their defence simply couldn’t cope with Cerro’s movement and Fidencio Oviedo was too strong in central midfield, cutting out any advances made by the Venezuelans. The ray of hope for this match is Alejandro Guerra who looked dangerous on the ball and was the only player in the first game who looked capable of unsettling the Paraguayan’s defence.
Cerro Porteño XI (probable): Roberto Fernández; Mariano Uglessich, Pedro Benítez, César Benítez; Carlos Bonet, Julio Dos Santos, Fidencio Oviedo, Walter López; Jonathan Fabbro; Santiago Salcedo, Rodrigo López
Selected Odds: Cerro Porteño win 1.39, Draw 5.0, Mineros win 10.5, 3-0 scoreline 10.0, Over 2.5 goals 1.86
Best Bet: Overs looks good because Cerro are always capable of conceding, also even at 1-0 I would expect them to keep attacking as it is their best strategy
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Stats and Trivia
Cerro Porteño vs Venezuelan opposition (in Paraguay)
Pld 9 W 7 D 3 L 0 – stat via Andres Riquelme
Cerro Porteño last 5 home (Continental Competition)
Pld 5 W 2 D 2 L 1 GF 10 GA 5
Mineros last 5 away (all competitions)
Pld 5 W 3 D 0 L 2 GF 4 GA 5
Cerro have scored 9 goals in 3 Copa Sudamericana games this year
By Ralph Hannah
Author’s Note: All odds correct at the time of writing via Betfair