Tigre vs Cerro Porteño
Estadio Monumental de Victoria
08/11/12, 21.45 hs (00.45 GMT)
1st leg: 0-1
Cerro Porteño arrived in Argentina for their quarter final second leg with the slenderest of leads. The 1-0 scoreline in Asunción means Cerro must either defend resolutely and keep a cleansheet or accept that they will concede and attack throughout to get the important away goal. Fossati’s philosophy favours the latter method, expect the Paraguayans to go for it.
The same eleven that played the first leg will also start here, they are all well-rested having not been involved in the weekend league match with Carapeguá. By now we know all the key figures and most people will have seen this 3-4-1-2 formation. History shows this will be Cerro’s fourth Sudamericana game in Argentina they have won one, drawn one, lost one with the win coming in the previous round against Colón. Their away form in the competition is equally balanced, six wins, six defeats and four draws since their first game in 2002. With regards to playing the second leg away from home this has only occurred eight times and twice was against another Paraguayan side; versus foreign sides the record is won two, lost two, drawn one.
Tigre have had something special in this competition so far, they have only 3 wins in their last 19 games all of which came in the Sudamericana. They beat Deportivo Quito 4-0 and Argentinos Juniors 4-1 in this stadium in the last two second legs. El Ciclón must be wary but they will also feel confident that they can score if the game is open. Just one Cerro goal means Tigre need three to qualify. My thoughts are that Cerro can manage two or even more against this weak side.
Cerro Porteño XI (probable): 12. Diego Barreto; 22. Mariano Uglessich, 4. Pedro Benítez, 2. César Benítez; 11. Carlos Bonet, 10. Julio Dos Santos, 16. Fidencio Oviedo, 11. Walter López; 17. Jonathan Fabbro; 21. Santiago Salcedo, 9. Roberto Nanni
Tigre XI (possible): Javier García; Alejandro Donatti, Mariano Echeverría, Lucas Orban; Martín Galmarini, Diego Ferreira, Gastón Díaz, Ramiro Leone; Rubén Botta; Federico Santander, Agustín Torassa
Selected Odds: Tigre win 1.94; Draw 3.55; Cerro Porteño win 4.6; 2-2 scoreline 19.0; Over 2.5 goals 2.18
Best Bet: Over 2.5 goals looks better than trying to call the result, Cerro’s last five away games in the competition average 3.4 goals per game
Stats and Trivia
Cerro Porteño vs Argentinian sides (Copa Sudamericana)
Pld 7 W 3 D 3 L 1 GF 9 GA 10
Cerro Porteño in Argentina (Copa Sudamericana)
Pld 3 W 1 D 1 L 1 GF 4 GA 7
Cerro Porteño last 5 away (Copa Sudamericana)
Pld 5 W 1 D 2 L 2 GF 8 GA 9
Over or Under? Cerro have played 16 away games in this competition since its inception in 2002, incredibly 11 of those have gone over 2.5 goals
For complete stats on Cerro in the Copa Sudamericana (and all other Paraguay sides) feel free to contact me via the comment section below and I can pass you more details.
By Ralph Hannah