Copa Libertadores 2013: Olimpia vs Fluminense preview

Olimpia vs Fluminense
Estadio Defensores del Chaco, Asunción
29/05/2013; 21:00 (02:00 BST)
Quarter Final, 2nd Leg – 0-0 aggregate
TV: Fox Sports (Latin America); ESPN (UK)

Another record crowd, another night full of expectation in the Defensores del Chaco as Olimpia look for a place in the final four on the quest for their fourth Libertadores title. Fluminense will have cursed the name of Martin Silva several times last week as the big Uruguayan pulled off save after save to earn a valuable cleansheet for the Paraguayan side.

Silva was on top form in the first leg - Photo: D10.com.py

Silva was on top form in the first leg – Photo: D10.com.py

Olimpia have been surprisingly inconsistent defensively this year, they began 2013 with four cleansheets in five games – something they repeated between March and April – but they have still managed to concede 3 goals on seven separate occassions in their 26 competitive games this season. Although they looked fairly toothless in the first leg that was more in order to protect their own goal rather than a general scoring problem. In fact, Olimpia are averaging 2.6 goals at home in this season’s competition having never failed to score less than two goals to date. Salgueiro and Bareiro are the top scorers in the Defensores with 3 goals a piece but they will probably be accompanied by Juan Carlos Ferreyra to offer more of a presence up front.

Olimpia fans with their mosaic against Tigre - Photo: D10.com.py

Olimpia fans with their mosaic against Tigre – Photo: D10.com.py

Undoubtedly Fluminense were on top in the previous game and the energy of Rahyner was particularly hard for El Decano to deal with. They are expected to line up with the same team which is interesting considering the changes of personnel in the opposition. They are currently on a poor run of four away games without a win in the Copa Libertadores knockout stages, something they’ll be hoping to end tonight although a score-draw would see them through.

Olimpia XI (probable): Martín Silva; Salustiano Candia, Herminio Miranda, Julio Manzur; Richard Salinas, Jorge Baez, FAbio Caballero, Richard Ortiz; Juan Manuel Salgueiro; Fredy Bareiro, Juan Carlos Ferreyra

Fluminense XI (probable): Diego Cavalieri, Bruno, Digão, Leandro Euzébio, Carlinhos; Edinho, Jean, Wagner; Wellington Nem, Rhayner, Fred.

Prediction: 2-1

Selected Odds: Olimpia win 2.78, Draw 4.4, Fluminense win 2.88, 2-1 win 11.0, Over 2.5 goals 2.18

Best Bet: BTTS looks the way to go with both teams needing to score to qualify, also while Olimpia have the capability of scoring I’m unconvinced they have the defense to stop the Brazilians finding the net at least once.

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Stats and Trivia

Olimpia vs Brazilian opposition (All Continental Competitions)

Pld 76 W 22 D 22 L 32 GF 91 GA 117

Olimpia in Asunción (All Continental Competitions)

Pld 217 W 111 D 59 L 47 GF 351 GA 219

Last time Olimpia drew the 1st leg away from home 0-0 they won the return 2-0 to progress – that was in the preliminary round versus Defensor Sporting

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Authors Note: All odds are selected from Betfair Sports and accurate at the time of writing, there is a live market on this game

For more football previews check out CaStRoF’s betting tips

4 responses to “Copa Libertadores 2013: Olimpia vs Fluminense preview

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