Copa Sudamericana 2013: The Strongest vs Nacional preview

The Strongest vs Nacional
Hernan Siles, La Paz
07/08/2013; 16:45 (21:45 BST)
Preliminary Round, 2nd Leg (AGG 0-0)
TV: Fox Sports (Latin America)

A frustrating first leg for Nacional ended in a goalless draw with Marcos Riveros missing a spot kick late into the game. It means Nacional´s chances of progressing to the next round are about as thin as the La Paz air they are playing in.  Situated 3,604 metres above sea level the Hernando Siles is a hostile place for visiting sides from the lowlands and Nacional failed to win in Bolivia in their two previous visits losing 5-2 in Cochabamba (vs Aurora) and drawing 0-0 in Oruro (vs San José).

Nacional players en route to Bolivia - Photo: Club Nacional Prensa

Nacional players en route to Bolivia – Photo: Club Nacional Prensa

There is no talk of “altitude specialists” with Morinigo trying to keep the same side that played in the first leg, Ramón Coronel is injured so Carlos Ruiz Peralta will probably fill in at right back. Marcos Melagerjo had  a strong game on the right hand side and will try and make an impact early on before he runs out of steam, Nico Martinez and Alfredo Mazacotte are the other creative forces with Jorge Achucarro the target up front.

As expected Daniel Vaca had to be on good form in the first leg to preserve the cleansheet and in general The Strongest played well in Asunción trying to keep possession with Pablo Escobar the fulcrum of all attacking moves as expected. If they manage to do the same tonight then they should overrun the Paraguayans.

Nacional XI (probable): Ignacio Don; Carlos Ruiz Peralta, Raul Piris, Leonardo Cáceres, David Mendoza; Alfredo Mazacotte, Marcos Riveros, Silvio Torales, Marcos Melgarejo; Nicolas Martinez, Jorge Achucarro

The Strongest XI (probable): Daniel Vaca; Nelvin Soliz, Rony Jimenez, Abraham Cabrera, Jair Torrico; Diego Bejarano, Victor Melgar, Walter Veizaga, Ernesto Cristaldo; Pablo Escobar, Gastón Mealla

Prediction: 3-1

Selected Odds: The Strongest win 1.53, Draw 4.4, Nacional win 7.8, 3-1 home win 14.0, Over 2.5 goals 1.83

Best Bet: Nacional are going to struggle but the onus is on them to score, they must be positive, I’m thinking Over 2.5 goals makes sense

========================================

Stats and Trivia

Nacional vs Bolivian opposition (All Continental Competitions)

Pld 5 W 1 D 3 L 1 GF 4 GA 6

Nacional away record (All Continental Competitions)

Pld 17 W 2 D 3 L 12 GF 17 GA 34

Nacional have never played in La Paz in international competition before.

Nacional’s only win on foreign soil was a 5-0 win against El Nacional of Ecuador in Quito in the 2009 Copa Libertadores preliminary stages. The other victory in an away game was against Olimpia in Asunción in the 1983 Libertadores.

========================================

NACIONAL FULL COPA SUDAMERICANA SQUAD WITH NUMBERS (Source Club Nacional)

1

IGNACIO DON

2

ANGEL ALMIRON

3

LEONARDO CACERES

4

DAVID MENDOZA

5

MARCOS MIERS

6

SILVIO TORALES

7

JORGE ACHUCARRO

8

JUAN ARGUELLO

9

BENJAMIN PEDROZO

10

GUSTAVO CRISTALDO

11

MARCO PRIETO

12

HUGO CABRERA

13

DOUGLAS MARTINEZ

14

MARCOS MELGAREJO

15

RAUL PIRIS

16

ALFREDO MAZACOTE

17

CARLOS RUIZ PERALTA

18

DERLIS ORUE

19

NICOLAS MARTINEZ

20

RAMON CORONEL

21

SANDINO SOSA

22

CESAR CACERES CAÑETE

23

FABIAN BALBUENA

24

CRISTIAN MELIDA

25

OSCAR AGÜERO

26

WILLIAN RIVEROS

27

GUIDO AQUINO

28

MARCOS RIVEROS

29

ANDRES RIQUELME

30

CARLOS ALVAREZ

Authors Note: All odds are selected from Betfair Sports and accurate at the time of writing, there is a live market on this game

For more football previews check out CaStRoF’s betting tips

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