Copa Sudamericana 2013: Oriente Petrolero vs Guaraní preview

Oriente Petrolero vs Guaraní
Tahuichi, Santa Cruz
08/08/2013; 19:15 (23:15 BST)
Preliminary Round, 2nd Leg (AGG 0-0)
TV: Fox Sports (Latin America)

Like Nacional last night, the aborigen travel to Bolivia knowing that they must avoid defeat to qualify. Guaraní´s task is arguably much easier with the game being played in Santa Cruz, a similar climate to Asunción and only around 400 metres above sea level.

Guarani couldn't score last game - photo: abc.com.py

Guarani couldn’t score last game – photo: abc.com.py

The first thing to note is that Guaraní go into this game with a different manager from the first leg. Gustavo Díaz was sacked following just three games (all of which ending in draws) and while the reasons for his dismissal remain unclear what is certain is that the Spaniard Fernando Jubero will take charge. The emphasis up front is likely to be power, Santander and Teixeira will try and grind down their opposing defenders while making space for the speedsters Ivan Gonzalez Ferreira and Luis de la Cruz. There shouldn’t be much change from what we saw in the first half of the first leg, a lot of urgency and pressure to get that all-important goal.

Guaraní and Oriente Petrolero battled it out last year - Photo: Paraguay.com

Guaraní and Oriente Petrolero battled it out last year – Photo: Paraguay.com

Oriente Petrolero didn’t play badly in Asunción and Alcides Peña was a constant threat with his clever runs in behind and ability to run at defenders. Guaraní will have to keep him on a tight leash or risk being stretched at the back. In all likelihood Oriente Petrolero will look to take the game to their opponents with confidence taken from the cleansheet in the first leg and the home advantage.

Oriente Petrolero XI (probable):  Carlos Arias; Miguel Hoyos, Pablo de Muner, Mariano Brau, Marvin Bejarano, Pedro Azogue, Danny Bejarano, Lucas Díaz, Matias Cordoba, Hugo Bargas, Alcides Peña

Guaraní XI (probable): Pablo Aurrecochea; Eduardo Fillippini, Luis Cabral, Julio Cesar Caceres, Edgar Aranda; Luis de la Cruz, Miguel Paniagua, Jorge Mendoza, Ivan Gonzalez Ferreira; Federico Santander, Rodrigo Teixeira

Prediction: 1-1

Selected Odds: Oriente win 2.78, Draw 4.4, Guaraní win 2.8, 1-1 draw 6.6, Under 2.5 goals 1.71

Best Bet: I like BTTS in this game with a sense that Guaraní have the firepower to grab a goal

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Stats and Trivia

Guaraní head-to-head Oriente Petrolero (All Continental Competitions)

Pld 5 W 1 D 2 L 2 GF 3 GA 6 – other than last year’s tie they also met in the 1997 group stages of Copa Libertadores

Guaraní vs Bolivian opposition  (All Continental Competitions)

Pld 11 W 4 D 4 L 3 GF 15 GA 24

Guaraní away to Bolivian opposition (All Continental Competitions)

Pld 5 W 1 D 2 L 2 GF 10 GA 5 – their only win came against Oriente Petrolero last year, they have only failed to score on one previous occassion

Guaraní last five away in Copa Sudamericana

Pld 5 W 2 D 2 L 1 GF 8 GA 8 – Guaraní have NEVER failed to score away from home in this competition

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GUARANI FULL SQUAD FOR COPA SUDAMERICANA 2013

1. Pablo Aurrecochea

2. Robert Aldama

3. Elvis Marecos

4. Eduardo Filippini

5. Julio Cesar Caceres

6. Jorge Mendoza

7. Rodrigo Teixeira

8. Miguel Paniagua

9. Federico Santander

10. Ivan Gonzalez

11. Guido Di Vanni

12. Alfredo Aguilar

13. Edgar Aranda

14. Tomas Bartomeus

15. Dario Ocampo

16. Jorge Benitez

17. Luis De la Cruz

18. Luis Cabral

19. Eric Cristaldo

20. Juan Aguilar

21. Ivan Vargas

22. Derlis Gonzalez

23. Joel Roman

24. Juan Patiño

25. Alex Bogado

26. Guillermo Peña

27. Nildo Viera

28. Armando Ruiz Diaz

29. Luis Gonzalez

30. Marcelo Paredes

Authors Note: All odds are selected from Betfair Sports and accurate at the time of writing, there is a live market on this game

For more football previews check out CaStRoF’s betting tips

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